FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Grimsby Town vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 0
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 0
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
GRI
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
GRI
7 - 0
STO
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KET
1 - 2
GRI
39%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
4 - 1
LOW
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
TON
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
GRI
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
WES
52%
22%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 3
FAR
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |