Grimsby Town vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
GRI
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 4
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GAI
0 - 4
GRI
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 0
DON
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 1
SUN
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 4
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
ROC
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 4
ROC
16%
21%
64%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 3
ROC
41%
24%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 2
MID
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |