FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-0
Grimsby Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 2
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GRI
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 2
GRI
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 1
LUT
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
EBB
3 - 1
GRI
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GRI
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
SWI
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 3
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |