Grimsby Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
GRI
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 0
DAR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 0
GUI
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GUL
2 - 3
GRI
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 1
GRI
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
WYC
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 1
OXF
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
OXF
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
OXF
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |