Grimsby Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 3
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
GRI
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 3
GRI
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
0 - 0
BPO
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 0
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAN
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 0
NOT
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 3
CUM
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
DON
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |