Grimsby Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 2
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GRI
1 - 0
STF
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
GRI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRI
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
GRI
3 - 3
BOU
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 1
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOT
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
KET
2 - 1
NOT
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
KET
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |