Grimsby Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRI
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRI
2 - 1
KID
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
EXE
1 - 0
GRI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SCU
2 - 0
GRI
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GRI
1 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOT
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BCF
1 - 0
NOT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 0
WOK
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
NOT
3 - 0
STF
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |