Grimsby Town vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
MID
2 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRI
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
GRI
0 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
BPO
3 - 1
GRI
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 0
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 2
SHW
50%
22%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
HUR
0 - 3
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
NEW
5 - 2
LEI
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |