Grimsby Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
GRI
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 2
BCF
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 3
GRI
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GRI
2 - 2
EXE
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
GRI
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |