Grimsby Town vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1931 |
ARS
9 - 1
GRI
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
SHW
4 - 1
GRI
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 2
NEW
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
MID
2 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRI
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 1
SHW
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
NEW
4 - 3
MUD
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
7 - 0
MUD
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |