Grimsby Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
HUR
5 - 1
GRI
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 3
SHE
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 4
WOL
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
SUN
4 - 2
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
WOL
8 - 1
GRI
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |