Grimsby Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1895 |
LEI
1 - 0
GRI
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
BUR
0 - 0
GRI
30%
22%
49%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
POR
5 - 0
GRI
21%
20%
59%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
GRI
2 - 1
DAR
36%
22%
41%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
MUD
2 - 0
GRI
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1895 |
MAC
4 - 1
CRE
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
DAR
4 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEI
41%
24%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
MAC
11 - 3
LIN
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |