EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Grimsby Town vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
POR
3 - 1
GRI
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
SWI
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
CRE
1 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
6 - 0
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEY
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
LEY
1 - 2
STF
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEY
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LEY
1 - 0
HAL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
LEY
1 - 1
SWI
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |