Grimsby Town vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
LIN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 4
GRI
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 0
WRE
50%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRI
4 - 0
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
KID
0 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
KID
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
CHM
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |