National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Grimsby Town vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRI
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 0
HYD
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 3
GRI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
0 - 1
HAL
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
CAM
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
GAT
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
GAT
24%
26%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |