Grimsby Town vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
BPO
3 - 1
GRI
69%
17%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
GRI
2 - 2
BBU
57%
21%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
SHE
4 - 0
GRI
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 2
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
DER
5 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
CRE
0 - 3
DER
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
DER
5 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |