Grimsby Town vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 3
GRI
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
STO
3 - 0
GRI
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 1
BBU
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 5
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
CHA
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1947 |
WOL
7 - 2
DER
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
DER
2 - 1
WOL
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
CHL
3 - 0
DER
46%
23%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
DER
1 - 3
BOL
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |