Grimsby Town vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
DER
1 - 2
GRI
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
OPA
3 - 0
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 0
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 0
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
WOL
1 - 1
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1938 |
CHL
1 - 1
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
CHL
3 - 0
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
HUR
1 - 2
CHL
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |