Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
GRI
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
GRI
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRI
0 - 2
STE
42%
28%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 0
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GRI
0 - 0
BCF
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 0
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
STE
3 - 0
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CUM
3 - 2
BCF
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 0
CUM
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 2
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |