Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 2
GRI
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
GRI
3 - 0
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
BCF
1 - 2
GRI
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
BRO
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
GRI
4 - 1
ROC
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 1
DAR
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 0
CUM
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 1
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
POS
1 - 1
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |