Grimsby Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
MID
3 - 2
GRI
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 0
GRI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
GRI
0 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
3 - 1
GRI
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
0 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
CHA
4 - 4
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 3
PNE
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |