Grimsby Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
GRI
69%
17%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
1 - 1
BOL
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 1
GRI
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
GRI
4 - 0
BUR
39%
21%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 4
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 4
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
BIR
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |