Grimsby Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 2
GRI
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
GRI
0 - 0
STO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 0
WIG
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
MID
1 - 0
GRI
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 0
BRI
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
ASV
3 - 1
WHU
60%
24%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1994 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
EXE
0 - 1
ASV
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 1
BBU
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |