Grimsby Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1947 |
GRI
4 - 1
LEE
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
GRI
1 - 2
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
GRI
4 - 0
MID
47%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
ARS
5 - 3
GRI
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 0
DER
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1947 |
ASV
0 - 1
STO
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 2
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 2
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 1
ASV
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |