Grimsby Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1946 |
BBU
1 - 1
GRI
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1946 |
GRI
2 - 2
BRE
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1946 |
BPO
2 - 3
GRI
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1946 |
GRI
1 - 0
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1946 |
EVE
3 - 3
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1946 |
ASV
2 - 3
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1946 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1946 |
ASV
1 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1946 |
STO
0 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1946 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |