Grimsby Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
GRI
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
68%
16%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
GRI
1 - 4
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
WHU
3 - 1
GRI
58%
18%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 1
WHU
52%
20%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
ASV
6 - 1
LIV
77%
13%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 8
ASV
52%
20%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 1
ASV
49%
21%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1931 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
78%
12%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |