Grimsby Town vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRI
0 - 1
NEW
55%
22%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
WOK
0 - 1
GRI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LUT
1 - 1
GRI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 0
ALD
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 0
DAG
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 2
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
WYC
2 - 1
ALD
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ALD
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |