Grijó vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grijó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRI
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
BUS
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
4 - 1
GRI
82%
12%
5%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
GRI
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |