Grijó vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grijó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
4 - 1
GRI
82%
12%
5%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
GRI
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FEL
2 - 0
BUS
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 0
SAO
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
ESP
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
BUS
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
3 - 0
PAM
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |