Griffen vs SV Villach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 1
GRI
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 4
LEN
13%
21%
66%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DRA
4 - 0
GRI
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 4
RAP
14%
20%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
EAC
3 - 1
GRI
68%
18%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 0
SVV
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SVV
0 - 1
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
SVV
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SVV
2 - 2
DRA
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVV
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |