Grieskirchen vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NEU
2 - 4
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
6 - 1
ATS
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SVW
0 - 1
GRI
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 1
GMU
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GRI
0 - 0
GRU
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
GRU
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
USD
1 - 2
SIE
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 0
EFE
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
SIE
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
SVT
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |