Grevenmacher vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 5
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 1
ETZ
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 0
CSP
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
F91
2 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 3
JEU
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 0
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 2
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 0
ULU
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |