Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-6
Grevenmacher vs Vetra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 3
GRE
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GRE
6 - 0
ETZ
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 2
GRE
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DIF
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 3
GRE
44%
24%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KRU
0 - 3
VET
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 1
VET
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
VET
2 - 1
FAS
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
FKT
1 - 1
VET
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
VET
2 - 2
BAN
69%
22%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |