Grevenmacher vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ETZ
2 - 1
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
VIC
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
CSP
3 - 1
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 5
F91
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
JEU
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SWI
0 - 1
JEU
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALL
0 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 3
AVE
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ULU
0 - 2
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |