Grevenmacher vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
RAC
4 - 1
GRE
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
KAE
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
KAE
0 - 2
GRE
39%
23%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
F91
0 - 3
GRE
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 3
JEU
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
JEU
1 - 0
PRO
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
PRO
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PRO
2 - 1
KAE
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
F91
5 - 1
PRO
77%
14%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |