Grevenmacher vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LXC
2 - 0
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 0
JEU
40%
23%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 6
GRE
19%
20%
61%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
CSP
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LXC
3 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
AVE
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |