Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 1-6
Grevenmacher vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1996 |
GRE
2 - 2
DTB
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
DTB
4 - 0
GRE
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
RBK
6 - 0
GRE
95%
4%
1%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
GRE
1 - 2
RBK
5%
14%
81%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 3
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ZAG
2 - 0
HKS
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1997 |
HKS
4 - 0
INT
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ZAD
2 - 2
HKS
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 0
SEG
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |