Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-8
Grevenmacher vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FHH
3 - 2
GRE
67%
18%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 1
VIC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
GRE
6 - 0
VIC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LXC
0 - 1
GRE
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CSP
2 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
IAA
2 - 5
FHH
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
FHH
4 - 0
HKK
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FHH
3 - 2
GRE
67%
18%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
FHH
1 - 2
FYL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
KEF
1 - 0
FHH
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |