Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-5
Grevenmacher vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
DIF
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
GRE
5 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
ETZ
1 - 3
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRO
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
F91
5 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
BOH
3 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 2
SFI
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 2
DUN
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
UCD
3 - 1
DUN
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |