Grevenmacher vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
67.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
DTB
4 - 0
GRE
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
RBK
6 - 0
GRE
95%
4%
1%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
GRE
1 - 2
RBK
5%
14%
81%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
DTB
4 - 0
GRE
93%
5%
2%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1996 |
DTB
8 - 0
SIO
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
DUR
2 - 8
DTB
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
DTB
3 - 0
GUR
89%
8%
4%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
DTB
5 - 0
IVE
89%
8%
4%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |