Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
FRE
1 - 1
SGF
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
SGF
4 - 1
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
SGF
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
SGF
0 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
EIN
2 - 1
SGF
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
WUR
2 - 6
BUR
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 0
WUR
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
WUR
3 - 4
SVS
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
PIR
2 - 2
WUR
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |