Greuther Fürth vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
UNT
3 - 1
SGF
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LUB
1 - 0
SGF
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
SGF
3 - 3
MSV
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 1
SGF
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGF
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 0
HER
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
BRE
3 - 0
ROS
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LEV
1 - 3
BRE
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
BYM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BRE
6 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |