Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Lüdenscheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
SGF
2 - 1
LIN
77%
13%
9%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
AUG
3 - 0
SGF
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
SGF
2 - 2
FSV
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
OFC
3 - 2
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1983 |
USO
2 - 1
SGF
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Lüdenscheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
RWL
3 - 2
ULM
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1982 |
RWL
1 - 3
DAR
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
RWL
2 - 1
FRE
42%
23%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
FRE
1 - 1
RWL
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
RWL
1 - 2
WOL
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |