Greuther Fürth vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
6 - 0
SGF
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 1
ING
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 0
SGF
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
SGF
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SGF
0 - 5
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
MSV
1 - 3
PAD
27%
22%
50%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
MSV
3 - 2
DAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
RTV
2 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
MSV
3 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |