Greuther Fürth vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 0
SGF
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 2
SVS
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
AUG
2 - 0
SGF
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
SGF
0 - 0
BAY
36%
27%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
MUN
1 - 0
SGF
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
M05
1 - 1
VFR
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SAA
2 - 2
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
M05
2 - 5
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
M05
1 - 0
DAR
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
M05
1 - 2
PIR
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |