DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 3-2
Greuther Fürth vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SGF
3 - 0
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
SGF
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SVS
2 - 3
SGF
59%
20%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SGF
5 - 2
AVI
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
HES
1 - 4
SGF
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
STU
2 - 2
HSV
17%
19%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
SGF
93%
5%
2%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
KOL
68%
17%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
EIN
2 - 2
HSV
30%
21%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRE
80%
12%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |