Greuther Fürth vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
SAA
2 - 0
SGF
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SGF
1 - 4
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
SGF
1 - 2
WAL
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
FSV
1 - 3
SGF
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
RTV
2 - 1
SGF
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
FRE
1 - 2
WAL
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
OFC
6 - 1
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
DAR
0 - 1
FRE
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 2
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
FRE
1 - 4
EIN
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |