Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
ROT
0 - 2
SGF
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
SGF
0 - 0
COT
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
STP
0 - 2
SGF
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SGF
3 - 1
M05
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SGF
2 - 0
ULM
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 3
TEN
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
SVS
2 - 2
KÖL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
KÖL
1 - 1
KFC
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1998 |
F95
2 - 2
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
KÖL
3 - 2
GUT
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |