Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
9º
8º
13
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 52.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SGF
0 - 0
ELV
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 4
SGF
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 2
SGF
7%
13%
81%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
SGF
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
F95
1 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SGD
2 - 0
F95
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |