Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
SCH
0 - 0
SGF
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
SGF
4 - 2
KSC
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
DAR
1 - 3
SGF
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 0
WAL
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
RVO
1 - 0
SGF
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 1
HEI
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 2
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
FCN
1 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
WWO
0 - 4
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
FCN
6 - 5
HOM
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |